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Really? Celiac Disease Is Influenced By Season Of Birth - New York Times (Blog)


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#1 admin

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Posted 29 October 2012 - 10:10 AM


TopNews United States

Really? Celiac Disease Is Influenced by Season of Birth
New York Times (blog)
But even as awareness of celiac disease grows, its cause remains unclear. One hypothesis is that the season in which a person is born may influence the development of this digestive disorder. Some researchers suspect that those born in the spring and ...
Many Celiac Sufferers Unaware of Their Condition TopNews United States

all 2 news articles »


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#2 L's Mom

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Posted 29 October 2012 - 11:14 AM

My daughter has a March birthday as does one of her friends (who also has Celiac). And her first winter was a rough winter, illness-wise. Seems like as good as a theory as any.
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#3 Groucho

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Posted 29 October 2012 - 11:46 AM

On reading the NIHS blurb I have to ask if the folks who did the study are nuts.

they split the calendar year into four quarters, and the percentage of celiacs found in each quarter was 27-25-25-23.

Let's see now, two of the quarters held exactly 1/4 of the celiac birthdays, and the other two quarters were all of TWO PERCENT HIGH OR LOW?

And that's somehow statistically significant, not just float, noise, or other sampling error?

I'd really love to hear some professional statisticians comment about that, because if I was getting numbers like that from a survey I would say at best that the season MIGHT have a VERY SMALL influence. Their conclusion that the season is of real significance? Based on a two percent difference? Aw, come on guys, that's an awfully slim percent.
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#4 ciamarie

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Posted 29 October 2012 - 12:35 PM

Good catch, Groucho. I was born in winter (Jan.).
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#5 kareng

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Posted 29 October 2012 - 12:36 PM

I was born in October.
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#6 GottaSki

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Posted 29 October 2012 - 12:42 PM

While I usually say that any celiac research is a positive thing - I stand corrected - what a waste of research time and money.

Six in my family - three Spring and three Fall
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maybe one good hour per day for ~17 months

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#7 Darn210

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Posted 29 October 2012 - 02:08 PM

My daughter is Winter.

27-25-25-23 . . . ??? . . . <_<
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#8 bartfull

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Posted 29 October 2012 - 04:41 PM

I was born in August, but Mom was a January baby.

But hey, if there is research money out there for the taking, I'm sure these people were glad to take it. <_<
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#9 mushroom

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Posted 29 October 2012 - 07:05 PM

I was born in March - in the southern hemisphere!!! Does that count?
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#10 Jestgar

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Posted 29 October 2012 - 07:33 PM

Statistically significant does not necessarily mean biologically relevant. It's a mistake to assume that numbers tell the whole story.

http://www.uni-marbu...n/ls/storks.pdf
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#11 Roda

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Posted 30 October 2012 - 06:31 AM

All three of us are winter babies...
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#12 bartfull

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Posted 30 October 2012 - 07:59 AM

I was born in March - in the southern hemisphere!!! Does that count?


Only if you are standing on your head. :lol:
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#13 mushroom

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Posted 30 October 2012 - 08:19 AM

Only if you are standing on your head. :lol:


I believe that is the way I came out :rolleyes:
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Neroli


"Everything that can be counted does not necessarily count; everything that counts cannot necessarily be counted." - Albert Einstein

"Life is not weathering the storm; it is learning to dance in the rain"

"Whatever the question, the answer is always chocolate." Nigella Lawson

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Caffeine free 1973
Lactose free 1990
(Mis)diagnosed IBS, fibromyalgia '80's and '90's
Diagnosed psoriatic arthritis 2004
Self-diagnosed gluten intolerant, gluten-free Nov. 2007
Soy free March 2008
Nightshade free Feb 2009
Citric acid free June 2009
Potato starch free July 2009
(Totally) corn free Nov. 2009
Legume free March 2010
Now tolerant of lactose

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#14 Sparks

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Posted 30 October 2012 - 10:34 AM

One thing to keep in mind is that the percent of babies born each season is NOT constant-- April has the lowest number of births in the US, while September has the most.

If the time of year with the fewest births has the greatest number of celiac births, well, that's interesting...
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