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Really? Celiac Disease Is Influenced By Season Of Birth - New York Times (Blog)

Scott Adams

By Scott Adams
in Publications & Publicity

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Scott Adams Grand Master
Scott Adams
Posted

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New York Times (blog)

But even as awareness of celiac disease grows, its cause remains unclear. One hypothesis is that the season in which a person is born may influence the development of this digestive disorder. Some researchers suspect that those born in the spring and ...

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L's Mom Newbie
L's Mom
Posted

My daughter has a March birthday as does one of her friends (who also has Celiac). And her first winter was a rough winter, illness-wise. Seems like as good as a theory as any.

Groucho Newbie
Groucho
Posted

On reading the NIHS blurb I have to ask if the folks who did the study are nuts.

they split the calendar year into four quarters, and the percentage of celiacs found in each quarter was 27-25-25-23.

Let's see now, two of the quarters held exactly 1/4 of the celiac birthdays, and the other two quarters were all of TWO PERCENT HIGH OR LOW?

And that's somehow statistically significant, not just float, noise, or other sampling error?

I'd really love to hear some professional statisticians comment about that, because if I was getting numbers like that from a survey I would say at best that the season MIGHT have a VERY SMALL influence. Their conclusion that the season is of real significance? Based on a two percent difference? Aw, come on guys, that's an awfully slim percent.

ciamarie Rookie
ciamarie
Posted

Good catch, Groucho. I was born in winter (Jan.).

kareng Grand Master
kareng
Posted

I was born in October.

GottaSki Mentor
GottaSki
Posted

While I usually say that any celiac research is a positive thing - I stand corrected - what a waste of research time and money.

Six in my family - three Spring and three Fall

Darn210 Enthusiast
Darn210
Posted

My daughter is Winter.

27-25-25-23 . . . ??? . . . <_<

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bartfull Rising Star
bartfull
Posted

I was born in August, but Mom was a January baby.

But hey, if there is research money out there for the taking, I'm sure these people were glad to take it. <_<

mushroom Proficient
mushroom
Posted

I was born in March - in the southern hemisphere!!! Does that count?

Jestgar Rising Star
Jestgar
Posted

Statistically significant does not necessarily mean biologically relevant. It's a mistake to assume that numbers tell the whole story.

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Roda Rising Star
Roda
Posted

All three of us are winter babies...

bartfull Rising Star
bartfull
Posted

I was born in March - in the southern hemisphere!!! Does that count?

Only if you are standing on your head. :lol:

mushroom Proficient
mushroom
Posted

Only if you are standing on your head. :lol:

I believe that is the way I came out :rolleyes:

Sparks Rookie
Sparks
Posted

One thing to keep in mind is that the percent of babies born each season is NOT constant-- April has the lowest number of births in the US, while September has the most.

If the time of year with the fewest births has the greatest number of celiac births, well, that's interesting...

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